Dodge Momentum Index Posts Recent Gain, Leading Institutional Project

The Dodge Momentum Index moved 4.1% higher in September to 143.6 (2000=100) from the revised August reading of 137.9. The momentum index, issued by Dodge Data & Analytics, is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year.

The gain in September was due entirely to an 8.9% increase in the commercial component, while the institutional component fell 4.8%.

For the third quarter, the overall momentum index averaged 140.1, a scant increase of 0.7% from its average in the previous quarter. Compared to the third quarter of 2018, however, the momentum index is 8.6% lower with the commercial component 3.7% lower than a year ago and the institutional component down 16.2%. While the dollar volume of projects in planning is certainly lower than it was a year ago, the index has moved more sideways than downward over the last two quarters.

In September, 15 projects each with a value of $100 million or more entered planning. The leading institutional project was the $180-million Jefferson Regional Medical Center in Pine Bluff, Arkansas.