Healthy Outlook for Construction Market Despite Rising Challenges
WASHINGTON, D.C. – After a strong 2015, there is a growing sense that the construction industry expansion will be more tempered over the next 18 months. However, continued strong demand for hotels, office space and amusement and recreation spaces will ensure continued growth in the overall construction spending market over this time period.
The American Institute of Architects’ semi-annual Consensus Construction Forecast, a survey of the nation’s leading construction forecasters, is projecting that spending will increase just less than six percent for 2016, with next year’s projection being an additional 5.6 percent gain.
“Healthy job growth, strong consumer confidence and low interest rates are several positive factors in the economy, which will allow some of the pent-up demand from the last downturn to go forward,” said AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker, Ph.D., Hon. AIA. “But at the same time, the slowing in the overall economy could extend to the construction industry a bit – with the biggest drop off expected in the industrial facility sector over the next year and a half.”
Market Segment Consensus Growth Forecasts | 2016 | 2017 |
Overall Non-Residential Building | 5.8% | 5.6% |
Commercial/Industrial | 11.7% | 6.5% |
Hotels | 17.9% | 7.6% |
Office space | 14.7% | 7.5% |
Retail | 7.4% | 5.2% |
Industrial facilities | -2.1% | 2.9% |
Institutional | 6.7% | 6.7% |
Amusement/recreation | 10.0% | 5.7% |
Education | 6.5% | 6.3% |
Healthcare facilities | 2.3% | 5.0% |
Religious | -0.4% | 1.9% |
Public safety | -3.7% | 3.3% |
Baker added, “The issues that could derail continued expansion in the construction sector include: weak U.S. manufacturing output, struggling economies in key international markets, the ripple effect from the Brexit decision and the typical uncertainty leading up to a U.S. presidential election that results in reluctant investors.”
Posted July 27, 2016
More Articles:
- Novel Approaches for Improving and Evaluating Indoor Environmental Quality in Healthcare Dining Settings WEBINAR
Nov 21, 2024 – Nov 21, 2024 - Developments in BIM Virtual Symposium
Dec 3, 2024 – Dec 3, 2024 - Healthcare Environments 2024
Dec 8, 2024 – Dec 10, 2024 - IHI Forum
Dec 8, 2024 – Dec 11, 2024 - Construction SuperConference
Dec 9, 2024 – Dec 11, 2024 - 2024 New Orleans Cluster
Dec 9, 2024 – Dec 11, 2024